The city bus with no exhaust pipe

NewTech Transport

Electric bus

Deployment

City buses running on batteries, with no exhaust fumes. In China almost every new city bus is electric; elsewhere, price and charging still hold them back.

Estimate
about −48%

in greenhouse gases over an electric bus's whole life, battery included, against a same-size diesel bus: World Bank estimate in Shenzhen, where about half the electricity comes from coal.

World Bank - Electrification of Public Transport: A Case Study of the Shenzhen Bus Group (2021) ↗

What problem it solves

The pollution, noise and CO₂ of diesel buses running all day among city dwellers.

The limits

Every technology has them. A sheet without limits would be a sales pitch.

  • Purchase price: in some developing countries an electric bus costs nearly 60% more than a diesel one (World Bank, 2024).
  • Charging: depots must be equipped, sometimes with transformers and new power lines; in Europe, delayed vehicles and chargers have at times forced a temporary return to diesel (World Bank, 2021; IEA, 2026).
  • Electricity mix: on a grid that is 74% coal, the climate gain drops to about 25% (World Bank, 2021).
  • Battery: most of its footprint comes from mining raw materials, and it often has to be replaced at least once in the bus's life (World Bank, 2021; WRI, 2018).
  • Uneven growth: China still makes up about 60% of sales, coaches lag behind, and US sales fell 40% in 2025 (IEA, 2026).

From trial bus to entire fleet: the journey of the electric bus

It took under ten years to go from a few trial buses to a megacity running fully electric.

2009

China launches a ten-city electric vehicle demonstration programme; battery buses are on trial.

Prototype
2017

Shenzhen becomes the world's first city whose entire fleet, 16,359 buses, is electric.

Deployment
2023

Lithium-ion batteries cost under 140 dollars per kilowatt-hour, a tenth of their 2010 price.

Deployment
Today

Nearly 70,000 electric buses sold in 2025: almost all new city buses in China, over 55% in the European Union, about 2% in Brazil. Costlier to buy, over their life they emit about 48% less than diesel in Shenzhen, and 25% less on a coal-heavy grid.

Deployment

IEA - Global EV Outlook 2026; World Bank (2021) ↗

What has moved

Each announced breakthrough, and what it actually delivered afterwards.

December 2017

Shenzhen switches all its buses to electric

At the end of 2017, Shenzhen becomes the world's first city whose entire bus fleet, 16,359 vehicles, runs on electricity. The example travels around the world.

And since?

Growth has spread beyond China: its share of world electric bus sales fell from nearly 100% in 2018 to about 60% in 2025, and Santiago, Chile, has the largest fleet outside China. But US sales fell 40% in 2025, and purchase price still holds back developing countries.

IEA - Global EV Outlook 2026, trends in other EV modes ↗